The area of disturbance is forecast to dump heavy rain on Central America as it moves northwest across or near eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras before entering the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. A hurricane hunter plane is scheduled to investigate the storm later Wednesday.
Will the storm turn into Hurricane Nate?
Confidence is high that this system will lift north toward the eastern tip of the Yucatan peninsula over the next couple of days and then emerge into the southern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games Friday night, the sky should be clear with temperatures falling from around 80 degrees at kickoff through the 70s during the game. Forecast models develop this low and track it north into the Gulf by Friday, sending large amounts of tropical moisture up through Florida and the other Gulf states.
The long-term forecast showed the storm reaching the U.S. Gulf coast by Sunday.
Wind shear is now low, and western Caribbean Sea water temperatures are now in the mid- to upper 80s, about 2 to 5 degrees above average. As of early Wednesday afternoon, FSU said it was monitoring the storm, but no change in the schedule had been announced.
There is no way to tell, at this point, of how strong or weak the system could be upon landfall because of too many unknown variables, Norman said. On the Gulf Coast, areas including Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and southeastern Louisiana could be impacted.
Hurricane season ends on November 30. Stay with 13WMAZ for the latest update on Tropical Depression Sixteen.